Wednesday, April 21, 2010

The treasurer's secret meeting.

During that long summer between the collapse of Bear Stearns and the collapse of Lehman Brothers, Hank Paulson held a secret meeting with the board of Goldman Sachs in Moscow.

Andrew Ross Sorkin tells the tale of the meeting in his new book:- Too Big To Fail.
When Paulson learned that Goldman’s board would be in Moscow at the same time as him, he had [Treasury chief of staff] Jim Wilkinson organize a meeting with them. Nothing formal, purely social — for old times’ sake.

For the nearly two years that Paulson had been Treasury secretary he had not met privately with the board of any company, except for briefly dropping by a cocktail party that Larry Fink’s BlackRock was holding for its directors at the Emirates Palace Hotel in Abu Dhabi in June.

Anxious about the prospect of such a meeting, Wilkinson called to get approval from Treasury’s general counsel. Bob Hoyt, who wasn’t enamored of the “optics” of such a meeting, said that as long as it remained a “social event,” it wouldn’t run afoul of the ethics guidelines.
Still, Wilkinson had told [Goldman chief of staff John] Rogers, “Let’s keep this quiet,” as the two coordinated the details. They agreed that Goldman’s directors would join him in his hotel suite following their dinner with Gorbachev. Paulson would not record the “social event” on his official calendar.
Come on in,” a buoyant Paulson said as he greeted everyone, shaking hands and giving bear hugs to some.
For the next hour, Paulson regaled his old friends with stories about his time in Treasury and his prognostications about the economy. They questioned him about the possibility of another bank blowing up, like Lehman, and he talked about the need for the government to have the power to wind down troubled firms, offering a preview of his upcoming speech.
How on earth did Paulson think this was OK? Goldman Sachs was a hugely powerful for-profit investment bank, and there he is, giving private chapter and verse on his opinions about the US and global economy, talking about internal Treasury matters, and previewing an upcoming (and surely market-moving) speech. All in secret, at a “social event” which somehow got kept off his official calendar. Oh, yes, and one other thing — the whole shebang took place in the Moscow Marriott Grand Hotel, in the context of Goldman directors joking about how all the Moscow hotels were surely bugged.
This is sleazy in the extreme, and will only serve to heighten suspicions that Paulson’s Treasury was rigging the game in favor of Goldman all along. (It’s also a bit peculiar, to say the least, that the only two times Paulson met with private-sector boards he was out of the country, and arguably outside US jurisdiction.)
You might recall that trip to Russia. It was a disaster. Paulson had gone to encourage Russian investment in the US economy, which was rapidly sliding into a recession. He wound up just being mocked by Russian officials.
Tracking the Dow on wednesday.21/04/10

Asian Index/Options Futures is 7 days to expiry.Rollover contracts to start.

9:30am:--Mild bullish gap-up.Earnings remain the focal point of participants since there are neither economic releases nor Fed speakers scheduled for today.
10:30am:--After reaching early high,pullback to near opening.
11:30am:--Bearish hammer ending the morning session low.
12:30noon:--A retracement to session MAV resistance.
1:30pm:--A pullback with a bull trap.
2:30pm:--Indicies spike down to a low.
3:30pm:--Retracement to the bear pivot resistance.Bullish inverted candlestick.
4:00pm:--Spinning at the MAV resistance line.A graveyard doji and an indecision doji.

A very choppy trading day.A hangman candlestick pattern was formed.It has a white bullish upper body and a longer lower shadow which might be used to cover half of it as a pullback.It can also be transformed into a dragonfly doji.
Investors had more questions after Greece's borrowing costs rose to record levels. There is unease that the country could default on its debt and trigger losses in other markets